A simple model for COVID-19

Arino, Julien; Portet, St\'ephanie

doi:https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.04.002

by Julien Arino and Stéphanie Portet

Abstract:

An SL1L2I1I2A1A2R epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, with focus on properties important in the context of current COVID-19 pandemic.

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Reference:

A simple model for COVID-19 (Julien Arino and Stéphanie Portet), In Infectious Disease Modelling, volume 5, 2020.

Bibtex Entry:

@article{ARINO2020309,
title = "A simple model for COVID-19",
journal = "Infectious Disease Modelling",
volume = "5",
pages = "309 - 315",
year = "2020",
issn = "2468-0427",
doi = "https://doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2020.04.002",
url = "http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2468042720300129",
author = "Julien Arino and St\'ephanie Portet",
keywords = "COVID-19, Mathematical model, Erlang distribution, Asymptomatic infections",
abstract = "An SL1L2I1I2A1A2R epidemic model is formulated that describes the spread of an epidemic in a population. The model incorporates an Erlang distribution of times of sojourn in incubating, symptomatically and asymptomatically infectious compartments. Basic properties of the model are explored, with focus on properties important in the context of current COVID-19 pandemic."
}